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Sokół Kleczew vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:00

Sokół Kleczew

PPG 1.30 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-110.0%0-28.0%0-34.3%0-4+2.5%1 1-07.3%1-111.7%1-29.4%1-35.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.3%2-16.9%2-25.5%2-32.9%2-4+1.7%3 3-01.7%3-12.7%3-22.2%3-31.2%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.7% 33.3% 3.00 -7.9%

Draw 27.9% 31.3% 3.20 -6.4%

Away win 41.5% 48.8% 2.05 -14.9%

Over 2.5 49.9% 58.8% 1.70 -15.2%

Over 3.5 30.0% 38.2% 2.62 -21.4%

BTTS 53.1% 63.7% 1.57 -16.6%

Home O1.5 31.5% 40.0% 2.50 -21.3%

Away O1.5 47.6% 52.4% 1.91 -9.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob53.1%

A 42% / xG 1.2-1.6 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–1 10.0%

#4 0–2 8.0%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sokół Kleczew1.2

Rekord Bielsko-Biała1.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SOKÓŁ KLECZEW · PPG 1.30

REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sokół Kleczew (H) 30.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -7.9%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -6.4%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała (A) 41.5%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -14.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sokół Kleczew face Rekord Bielsko-Biała in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sokół Kleczew a 31% chance, the draw 28% and Rekord Bielsko-Biała 42%, so Rekord Bielsko-Biała are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sokół Kleczew and 1.6 for Rekord Bielsko-Biała (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sokół Kleczew are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.21 for Rekord Bielsko-Biała. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +6.7%.

Sokół Kleczew vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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