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Příbram vs Prostějov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:00

Příbram

PPG 1.84 · HOME

UPCOMING

Prostějov

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.92 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-16.5%0-22.5%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.2%1-111.1%1-24.3%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.1%2-19.5%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.9%3-15.4%3-22.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-13.4%4+-21.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.1% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 21.9% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 19.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -1.8%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.6%

H 54% / xG 1.7-0.8 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 1–0 14.2%

#3 2–0 12.1%

#4 0–0 8.3%

#5 2–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Příbram1.7

Prostějov0.8

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PŘÍBRAM · PPG 1.84

PROSTĚJOV · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.92 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Příbram (H) 54.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Prostějov (A) 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Příbram face Prostějov in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Příbram a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Prostějov 22%, so Příbram are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Příbram and 0.8 for Prostějov (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Příbram are averaging 1.84 points per game versus 0.87 for Prostějov.

Příbram vs Prostějov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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