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Täfteå vs Skellefteå Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - Promotion Round ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 17:30

Täfteå

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Skellefteå

PPG 2.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-19.3%0-26.1%0-32.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-09.5%1-112.4%1-28.1%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.3%2-18.3%2-25.4%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.8%3-13.7%3-22.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.6% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 33.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.6% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 40.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.5%

H 41% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.1%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 1–2 8.1%

#5 1–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Täfteå1.3

Skellefteå1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TÄFTEÅ · PPG 2.29

SKELLEFTEÅ · PPG 2.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Täfteå (H) 40.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Skellefteå (A) 33.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Täfteå face Skellefteå in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Täfteå a 41% chance, the draw 26% and Skellefteå 33%, so Täfteå are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Täfteå and 1.3 for Skellefteå (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Täfteå are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 2.43 for Skellefteå.

Täfteå vs Skellefteå Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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