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NSI Runavik vs Skála Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 18 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 18:00

NSI Runavik

PPG 2.75 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Skála

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 64.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-14.4%0-21.4%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.9%1-19.0%1-22.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.2%2-19.2%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.7%3-16.2%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.9%4+-15.1%4+-21.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.0% 73.5% 1.36 -13.0%

Draw 21.3% 23.1% 4.33 -4.7%

Away win 14.7% 14.3% 7.00 +1.7%

Over 2.5 53.7% 69.4% 1.44 -22.7%

Over 3.5 31.8% 48.8% 2.05 -34.8%

BTTS 49.4% 63.7% 1.57 -22.4%

Home O1.5 57.5% 75.2% 1.33 -23.5%

Away O1.5 17.2% 30.3% 3.30 -25.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 82%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.4%

H 64% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.2%

#2 1–0 13.9%

#3 1–1 9.0%

#4 3–0 9.7%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NSI Runavik2.0

Skála0.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 2.75

SKÁLA · PPG 0.38

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

NSI Runavik (H) 64.0%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -13.0%

Draw 21.3%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -4.7%

Skála (A) 14.7%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +1.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

NSI Runavik face Skála in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NSI Runavik a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Skála 15%, so NSI Runavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for NSI Runavik and 0.6 for Skála (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NSI Runavik are averaging 2.75 points per game versus 0.38 for Skála. This match finished 4-0.

NSI Runavik vs Skála Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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