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Žilina II vs Pohronie Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 08:30

Žilina II

PPG 1.08 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Pohronie

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.3%0-25.3%0-32.6%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.8%1-111.3%1-28.1%1-33.9%1-4+2.0%2 2-06.0%2-18.6%2-26.3%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.1%3-14.4%3-23.2%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.4%4+-21.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.6% 47.6% 2.10 -12.6%

Draw 24.5% 28.6% 3.50 -8.6%

Away win 33.9% 34.5% 2.90 -1.7%

Over 2.5 53.5% 58.8% 1.70 -9.0%

Over 3.5 32.9% 36.4% 2.75 -9.5%

BTTS 55.3% 63.7% 1.57 -13.2%

Home O1.5 45.4% 51.8% 1.93 -12.4%

Away O1.5 43.7% 42.6% 2.35 +2.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.3%

H 42% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1✓ 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 0–0 5.1%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Žilina II1.5

Pohronie1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ŽILINA II · PPG 1.08

POHRONIE · PPG 1.07

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Žilina II (H) 41.6%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -12.6%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -8.6%

Pohronie (A) 33.9%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -1.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Žilina II face Pohronie in Slovakia - 2. liga on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Žilina II a 42% chance, the draw 25% and Pohronie 34%, so Žilina II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Žilina II and 1.4 for Pohronie (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Žilina II are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.07 for Pohronie. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +4.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Žilina II vs Pohronie Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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