Today / Czech-Republic - FNL / Jihlava vs Zbrojovka Brno

Jihlava vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 24 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 16:00

Jihlava

PPG 0.91 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Zbrojovka Brno

PPG 2.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 68.5% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-114.1%0-213.9%0-39.2%0-4+7.2%1 1-04.7%1-19.3%1-29.3%1-36.1%1-4+4.8%2 2-01.6%2-13.1%2-23.1%2-32.0%2-4+1.6%3 3-00.3%3-10.7%3-20.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.5% 19.6% 5.10 -41.3%

Draw 20.0% 27.8% 3.60 -28.0%

Away win 68.5% 62.5% 1.60 +9.6%

Over 2.5 49.3% 52.6% 1.90 -6.3%

Over 3.5 27.4% 30.8% 3.25 -10.9%

BTTS 41.9% 54.6% 1.83 -23.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob41.9%

A 68% / xG 0.7-2.0 / O2.5 49% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.1%

#2 0–2 13.9%

#3 1–1 9.3%

#4 1–2✓ 9.3%

#5 0–3 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jihlava0.7

Zbrojovka Brno2.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.3% · O3.5 PROB 27.4%

Form & verdict PPG

JIHLAVA · PPG 0.91

ZBROJOVKA BRNO · PPG 2.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.55) vs Home POOR (0.91)

Win probability 1X2

Jihlava (H) 11.5%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV -41.3%

Draw 20.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -28.0%

Zbrojovka Brno (A) 68.5%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV +9.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jihlava face Zbrojovka Brno in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jihlava a 12% chance, the draw 20% and Zbrojovka Brno 69%, so Zbrojovka Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Jihlava and 2.0 for Zbrojovka Brno (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jihlava are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 2.55 for Zbrojovka Brno. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +9.6%. This match finished 1-2.

Jihlava vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - FNL Predictions