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Fehérvár FC vs Szeged 2011 Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:30

Fehérvár FC

PPG 1.89 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Szeged 2011

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-16.6%0-23.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.5%1-111.3%1-25.1%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.7%2-19.7%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.1%3-15.5%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-13.4%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 20.8% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 23.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 58%

ROI -18.2%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.6%

H 53% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–0✓ 12.5%

#3 2–0 10.7%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fehérvár FC1.7

Szeged 20110.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FEHÉRVÁR FC · PPG 1.89

SZEGED 2011 · PPG 1.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Fehérvár FC (H) 53.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Szeged 2011 (A) 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fehérvár FC face Szeged 2011 in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fehérvár FC a 53% chance, the draw 26% and Szeged 2011 21%, so Fehérvár FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Fehérvár FC and 0.9 for Szeged 2011 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fehérvár FC are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.19 for Szeged 2011. This match finished 1-0.

Fehérvár FC vs Szeged 2011 Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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