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Tiszakecske FC vs Mezokovesd-zsory Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:30

Tiszakecske FC

PPG 1.36 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Mezokovesd-zsory

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-110.7%0-24.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.5%1-113.2%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.9%2-18.1%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.7%3-13.3%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.5% — — —

Draw 32.3% — — —

Away win 25.2% — — —

Over 2.5 40.5% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 34.0% — — —

Away O1.5 24.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 58%

ROI -18.2%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.4%

H 42% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 1–0✓ 14.5%

#4 2–0 8.9%

#5 0–1 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tiszakecske FC1.2

Mezokovesd-zsory0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TISZAKECSKE FC · PPG 1.36

MEZOKOVESD-ZSORY · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.32, combined xG 2.14 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tiszakecske FC (H) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mezokovesd-zsory (A) 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tiszakecske FC face Mezokovesd-zsory in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tiszakecske FC a 43% chance, the draw 32% and Mezokovesd-zsory 25%, so Tiszakecske FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tiszakecske FC and 0.9 for Mezokovesd-zsory (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tiszakecske FC are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.11 for Mezokovesd-zsory. This match finished 1-0.

Tiszakecske FC vs Mezokovesd-zsory Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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