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BVSC vs Kecskeméti TE Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 15:30

BVSC

PPG 1.36 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Kecskeméti TE

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-18.9%0-23.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.6%1-112.4%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.8%2-18.6%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.0%3-14.0%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.4% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 21.9% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 41.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 58%

ROI -18.2%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.4%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 15.6%

#3 0–0 11.2%

#4 2–0 10.8%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BVSC1.4

Kecskeméti TE0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BVSC · PPG 1.36

KECSKEMÉTI TE · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

BVSC (H) 50.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kecskeméti TE (A) 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

BVSC face Kecskeméti TE in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BVSC a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Kecskeméti TE 22%, so BVSC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for BVSC and 0.8 for Kecskeméti TE (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BVSC are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 0.94 for Kecskeméti TE. This match finished 0-1.

BVSC vs Kecskeméti TE Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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