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Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Matchday 17 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 22:30

Paraguari AC

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportivo Capiata

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.5%0-112.6%0-26.9%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.3%1-113.4%1-27.4%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.6%2-17.2%2-23.9%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.3%3-12.6%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.0% — — —

Draw 29.4% — — —

Away win 33.7% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 25.7% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 25%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.2%

D 29% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.5%

#3 0–1 12.6%

#4 1–0 12.3%

#5 1–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Paraguari AC1.1

Deportivo Capiata1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 25.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PARAGUARI AC · PPG 1.25

DEPORTIVO CAPIATA · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.02, combined xG 2.17 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Paraguari AC (H) 37.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportivo Capiata (A) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Paraguari AC face Deportivo Capiata in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paraguari AC a 37% chance, the draw 29% and Deportivo Capiata 34%, so Paraguari AC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Paraguari AC and 1.1 for Deportivo Capiata (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paraguari AC are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.75 for Deportivo Capiata.

Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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