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Djurgården W vs Uppsala W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:00

Djurgården W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

8 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Uppsala W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-18.4%0-23.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.7%1-112.4%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.1%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.9%3-14.4%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.9% 76.9% 1.30 -31.2%

Draw 24.3% 21.7% 4.60 +7.1%

Away win 22.8% 13.3% 7.50 +42.6%

Over 2.5 53.5% 69.4% 1.44 -23.0%

Over 3.5 32.3% 47.6% 2.10 -32.2%

BTTS 53.1% 59.9% 1.67 -11.3%

Home O1.5 45.4% 73.5% 1.36 -38.3%

Away O1.5 23.9% 26.7% 3.75 -6.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 12.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 8-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 53% / xG 1.5-0.9 / U2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 13.7%

#3 0–0 9.3%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Djurgården W1.5

Uppsala W0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DJURGÅRDEN W · PPG 1.00

UPPSALA W · PPG 0.00

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Djurgården W (H) 52.9%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -31.2%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +7.1%

Uppsala W (A) 22.8%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +42.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Djurgården W face Uppsala W in Sweden - Damallsvenskan on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Djurgården W a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Uppsala W 23%, so Djurgården W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Djurgården W and 0.9 for Uppsala W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Djurgården W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Uppsala W. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +35.2%. This match finished 8-0.

Djurgården W vs Uppsala W Prediction— Sweden - Damallsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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