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IFK Östersund vs Kubikenborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Norrland - Promotion Round ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

IFK Östersund

PPG 1.33 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Kubikenborg

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.6%0-25.0%0-33.0%0-4+2.0%1 1-05.3%1-19.4%1-28.4%1-35.0%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.4%2-17.9%2-27.0%2-34.2%2-4+2.8%3 3-02.5%3-14.4%3-23.9%3-32.3%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.7%4+-22.4%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 41.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 41.0% — — —

BTTS 63.8% — — —

Home O1.5 49.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.8%

A 42% / xG 1.7-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 0–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IFK Östersund1.7

Kubikenborg1.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.0%

Form & verdict PPG

IFK ÖSTERSUND · PPG 1.33

KUBIKENBORG · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

IFK Östersund (H) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kubikenborg (A) 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

IFK Östersund face Kubikenborg in Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IFK Östersund a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Kubikenborg 42%, so Kubikenborg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for IFK Östersund and 1.8 for Kubikenborg (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IFK Östersund are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Kubikenborg. This match finished 2-0.

IFK Östersund vs Kubikenborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norrland

Match Preview & Prediction

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