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Opava vs Slavia Prague B Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 24 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 14:00

Opava

PPG 2.45 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Slavia Prague B

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 69.4% vs bookmaker-implied 59.5% — a clear edge.

+16.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-13.4%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.5%1-18.0%1-23.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-19.6%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.1%3-17.7%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.5%4+-18.0%4+-23.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.4% 59.5% 1.68 +16.6%

Draw 17.5% 30.3% 3.30 -42.3%

Away win 13.1% 20.0% 5.00 -34.5%

Over 2.5 64.7% 55.6% 1.80 +16.5%

Over 3.5 42.7% 33.9% 2.95 +26.0%

BTTS 55.5% 58.8% 1.70 -5.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.5%

H 69% / xG 2.4-0.9 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–0 8.5%

#4 3–0 8.1%

#5 1–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Opava2.4

Slavia Prague B0.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.7% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

OPAVA · PPG 2.45

SLAVIA PRAGUE B · PPG 1.08

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.45), Away AVERAGE (1.08) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Opava (H) 69.4%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV +16.6%

Draw 17.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -42.3%

Slavia Prague B (A) 13.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -34.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Opava face Slavia Prague B in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Opava a 69% chance, the draw 18% and Slavia Prague B 13%, so Opava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Opava and 0.9 for Slavia Prague B (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Opava are averaging 2.45 points per game versus 1.08 for Slavia Prague B. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +26.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Opava vs Slavia Prague B Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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