Today / Peru - Liga Women / Sporting Cristal W vs Yanapuma W

Sporting Cristal W vs Yanapuma W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Clausura - 2 ·Thursday, July 30, 2026, 16:00

Sporting Cristal W

PPG 2.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yanapuma W

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +6.23 for Home, form 2.75 vs 0.20 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.0%0-10.0%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.3%1-10.2%1-20.1%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-01.1%2-10.8%2-20.3%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.6%3-11.9%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-044.2%4+-132.2%4+-211.7%4+-32.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 88.0% — — —

Draw 6.4% — — —

Away win 5.6% — — —

Over 2.5 83.5% — — —

Over 3.5 69.0% — — —

BTTS 53.7% — — —

Home O1.5 88.0% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)7.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob53.7%

H 88% / xG 7.0-0.7 / O2.5 84% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 6.2%

#2 5–1 4.5%

#3 4–0 4.5%

#4 4–1 3.3%

#5 3–0 2.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sporting Cristal W7.0

Yanapuma W0.7

COMBINED 7.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.5% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTING CRISTAL W · PPG 2.75

YANAPUMA W · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +6.23 for Home, form 2.75 vs 0.20 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sporting Cristal W (H) 88.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 6.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yanapuma W (A) 5.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporting Cristal W face Yanapuma W in Peru - Liga Women on Thursday, July 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporting Cristal W a 88% chance, the draw 6% and Yanapuma W 6%, so Sporting Cristal W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 7.0 for Sporting Cristal W and 0.7 for Yanapuma W (7.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporting Cristal W are averaging 2.75 points per game versus 0.20 for Yanapuma W.

Sporting Cristal W vs Yanapuma W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

More Peru - Liga Women Predictions