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Buderich vs G. Ratingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 28 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:30

Buderich

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

G. Ratingen

PPG 2.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-11.0%0-22.3%0-33.6%0-4+16.1%1 1-00.3%1-11.4%1-23.3%1-35.3%1-4+23.6%2 2-00.2%2-11.0%2-22.4%2-33.9%2-4+17.3%3 3-00.1%3-10.5%3-21.2%3-31.9%3-4+8.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.6%4+-31.0%4+-4+4.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 5.6% — — —

Draw 7.1% — — —

Away win 87.3% — — —

Over 2.5 94.6% — — —

Over 3.5 86.6% — — —

BTTS 76.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)4.7 BTTS prob76.2%

A 87% / xG 1.5-4.7 / O2.5 95% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–4 6.2%

#2 1–5 5.9%

#3 1–3 5.3%

#4 2–4 4.6%

#5 2–5 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buderich1.5

G. Ratingen4.7

COMBINED 6.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 94.6% · O3.5 PROB 86.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDERICH · PPG 1.00

G. RATINGEN · PPG 2.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.08) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Buderich (H) 5.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 7.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

G. Ratingen (A) 87.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Buderich face G. Ratingen in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buderich a 6% chance, the draw 7% and G. Ratingen 87%, so G. Ratingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Buderich and 4.7 for G. Ratingen (6.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-4. There is a 95% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buderich are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.08 for G. Ratingen. This match finished 0-0.

Buderich vs G. Ratingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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