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Huracán Res. vs Belgrano Córdoba Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 3 ·Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 18:00

Huracán Res.

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-14.9%0-22.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.4%1-19.8%1-24.2%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.5%2-19.8%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.7%3-16.6%3-22.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-15.3%4+-22.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.0% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 58.5% — — —

Over 3.5 34.1% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 21.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 56% / xG 2.0-0.9 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.5%

#2 1–1 9.8%

#3 1–0 11.4%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 3–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huracán Res.2.0

Belgrano Córdoba Res.0.9

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.5% · O3.5 PROB 34.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HURACÁN RES. · PPG 1.60

BELGRANO CÓRDOBA RES. · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.16 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Huracán Res. (H) 56.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Belgrano Córdoba Res. (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Huracán Res. face Belgrano Córdoba Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huracán Res. a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Belgrano Córdoba Res. 22%, so Huracán Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Huracán Res. and 0.9 for Belgrano Córdoba Res. (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huracán Res. are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.00 for Belgrano Córdoba Res..

Huracán Res. vs Belgrano Córdoba Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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