Today / Argentina - Torneo Federal A / Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Winners Stage · Matchday 1 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 18:00

Kimberley Mar del Plata

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Argentino Monte Maíz

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-19.1%0-22.2%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-022.5%1-110.8%1-22.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.2%2-16.3%2-21.5%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.2%3-12.5%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 26%

O2.5 84%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob45.4%

H 51% / xG 1.2-0.5 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 22.5%

#2 0–0 19.1%

#3 2–0 13.2%

#4 1–1 10.8%

#5 0–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kimberley Mar del Plata1.2

Argentino Monte Maíz0.5

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KIMBERLEY MAR DEL PLATA · PPG 1.62

ARGENTINO MONTE MAÍZ · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kimberley Mar del Plata (H) 50.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Argentino Monte Maíz (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kimberley Mar del Plata face Argentino Monte Maíz in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kimberley Mar del Plata a 51% chance, the draw 28% and Argentino Monte Maíz 21%, so Kimberley Mar del Plata are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kimberley Mar del Plata and 0.5 for Argentino Monte Maíz (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kimberley Mar del Plata are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.88 for Argentino Monte Maíz.

Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Torneo Federal A Predictions