Today / Argentina - Torneo Federal A / Deportivo Rincon vs Guillermo Brown

Deportivo Rincon vs Guillermo Brown Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Losers Stage - 1 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 18:30

Deportivo Rincon

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Guillermo Brown

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.84 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-17.9%0-22.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.8%1-111.0%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.8%2-17.7%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.5%3-13.6%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-11.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 45.6% — — —

Home O1.5 44.4% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.6%

H 52% / xG 1.4-0.6 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.8%

#2 0–0 14.1%

#3 2–0 13.8%

#4 1–1 11.0%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Rincon1.4

Guillermo Brown0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO RINCON · PPG 1.62

GUILLERMO BROWN · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.84 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Rincon (H) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Guillermo Brown (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Rincon face Guillermo Brown in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Rincon a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Guillermo Brown 21%, so Deportivo Rincon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Deportivo Rincon and 0.6 for Guillermo Brown (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Rincon are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.75 for Guillermo Brown.

Deportivo Rincon vs Guillermo Brown Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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