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Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ. Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Losers Stage - 1 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 18:00

Germinal de Rawson

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventud Unida Univ.

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-037.4%0-116.2%0-23.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.6%1-18.9%1-21.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-05.7%2-12.5%2-20.5%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.0%3-10.5%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.9% — — —

Draw 41.5% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 27.6% — — —

Over 3.5 11.1% — — —

BTTS 31.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 11.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob31.6%

D 42% / xG 0.6-0.4 / U2.5 28% / NoBTTS 32%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 37.4%

#2 1–0 20.6%

#3 0–1 16.2%

#4 1–1 8.9%

#5 2–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Germinal de Rawson0.6

Juventud Unida Univ.0.4

COMBINED 1.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 27.6% · O3.5 PROB 11.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GERMINAL DE RAWSON · PPG 1.88

JUVENTUD UNIDA UNIV. · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.12, combined xG 0.98 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Germinal de Rawson (H) 33.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventud Unida Univ. (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Germinal de Rawson face Juventud Unida Univ. in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Germinal de Rawson a 34% chance, the draw 42% and Juventud Unida Univ. 25%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Germinal de Rawson and 0.4 for Juventud Unida Univ. (1.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Germinal de Rawson are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.25 for Juventud Unida Univ..

Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ. Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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