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Las Mandarinas vs Buenos Aires City Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Regular Season - 11 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Las Mandarinas

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Buenos Aires City

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.8%0-117.5%0-27.7%0-32.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.6%1-112.9%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.4%2-14.7%2-22.1%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.3%3-11.2%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.9% — — —

Draw 32.1% — — —

Away win 38.9% — — —

Over 2.5 38.1% — — —

Over 3.5 18.8% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 24.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob46.4%

A 39% / xG 0.7-0.9 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.8%

#2 0–1 17.5%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 1–0 14.6%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Las Mandarinas0.7

Buenos Aires City0.9

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.1% · O3.5 PROB 18.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LAS MANDARINAS · PPG 0.00

BUENOS AIRES CITY · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.14, combined xG 1.62 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Las Mandarinas (H) 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Buenos Aires City (A) 38.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Las Mandarinas face Buenos Aires City in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Las Mandarinas a 29% chance, the draw 32% and Buenos Aires City 39%, so Buenos Aires City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Las Mandarinas and 0.9 for Buenos Aires City (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Las Mandarinas are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Buenos Aires City.

Las Mandarinas vs Buenos Aires City Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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