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The Strongest vs Aurora Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura - 12 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 21:30

The Strongest

PPG 2.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Aurora

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-18.8%0-23.2%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.7%1-112.2%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.6%2-18.4%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.4%3-13.9%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-11.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 23.5% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 23.0% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 40.9% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 89%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.7%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.7%

#2 1–1 12.2%

#3 0–0 12.1%

#4 2–0 11.6%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

The Strongest1.4

Aurora0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 23.0%

Form & verdict PPG

THE STRONGEST · PPG 2.20

AURORA · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

The Strongest (H) 49.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aurora (A) 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

The Strongest face Aurora in Bolivia - Primera División on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives The Strongest a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Aurora 24%, so The Strongest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for The Strongest and 0.7 for Aurora (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, The Strongest are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.60 for Aurora.

The Strongest vs Aurora Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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