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Urena SC vs Puerto Cabello II Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Regular Season - 20 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 19:30

Urena SC

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Puerto Cabello II

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-18.4%0-23.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.9%1-112.4%1-25.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.2%2-19.1%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.0%3-14.4%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 50.8% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 24.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob50.8%

H 49% / xG 1.5-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 13.9%

#3 0–0 9.5%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Urena SC1.5

Puerto Cabello II0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

URENA SC · PPG 1.25

PUERTO CABELLO II · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Urena SC (H) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Puerto Cabello II (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Urena SC face Puerto Cabello II in Venezuela - Segunda División on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Urena SC a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Puerto Cabello II 24%, so Urena SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Urena SC and 0.9 for Puerto Cabello II (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Urena SC are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.25 for Puerto Cabello II.

Urena SC vs Puerto Cabello II Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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