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Real Frontera vs Urena SC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 19:30

Real Frontera

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Urena SC

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.87 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-111.2%0-210.3%0-36.3%0-4+4.4%1 1-05.9%1-110.8%1-29.9%1-36.0%1-4+4.2%2 2-02.8%2-15.2%2-24.8%2-32.9%2-4+2.0%3 3-00.9%3-11.7%3-21.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.5% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 55.2% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 33.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob55.4%

A 55% / xG 1.0-1.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 0–2 10.3%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 11.2%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Frontera1.0

Urena SC1.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL FRONTERA · PPG 1.00

URENA SC · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.87 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Real Frontera (H) 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Urena SC (A) 55.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Frontera face Urena SC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Frontera a 22% chance, the draw 23% and Urena SC 55%, so Urena SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Real Frontera and 1.8 for Urena SC (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Frontera are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Urena SC.

Real Frontera vs Urena SC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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