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Bolívar vs Mineros de Guyana Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 19:00

Bolívar

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mineros de Guyana

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.50 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-14.1%0-21.2%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.8%1-18.4%1-22.4%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.3%2-18.7%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.5%3-16.0%3-21.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-08.8%4+-15.0%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.4% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 14.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.8% — — —

Over 3.5 29.6% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 64% / xG 2.1-0.6 / O2.5 51% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.3%

#2 1–0 14.8%

#3 3–0 10.5%

#4 1–1 8.4%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bolívar2.1

Mineros de Guyana0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.8% · O3.5 PROB 29.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BOLÍVAR · PPG 2.00

MINEROS DE GUYANA · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.50 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Bolívar (H) 64.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mineros de Guyana (A) 14.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bolívar face Mineros de Guyana in Venezuela - Segunda División on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bolívar a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Mineros de Guyana 14%, so Bolívar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Bolívar and 0.6 for Mineros de Guyana (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bolívar are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.71 for Mineros de Guyana.

Bolívar vs Mineros de Guyana Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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