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Yaracuyanos FC vs Atletico el Vigia FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 20:00

Yaracuyanos FC

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atletico el Vigia FC

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.65 for Home, form 1.88 vs 0.25 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-13.5%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-013.1%1-17.8%1-22.3%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.7%2-18.8%2-22.6%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.0%3-16.6%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-010.4%4+-16.2%4+-21.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.8% — — —

Draw 19.2% — — —

Away win 10.0% — — —

Over 2.5 60.7% — — —

Over 3.5 37.2% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 71% / xG 2.2-0.6 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.7%

#2 1–0 13.1%

#3 3–0 11.0%

#4 1–1 7.8%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yaracuyanos FC2.2

Atletico el Vigia FC0.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.2%

Form & verdict PPG

YARACUYANOS FC · PPG 1.88

ATLETICO EL VIGIA FC · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.65 for Home, form 1.88 vs 0.25 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Yaracuyanos FC (H) 70.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atletico el Vigia FC (A) 10.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yaracuyanos FC face Atletico el Vigia FC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yaracuyanos FC a 71% chance, the draw 19% and Atletico el Vigia FC 10%, so Yaracuyanos FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Yaracuyanos FC and 0.6 for Atletico el Vigia FC (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yaracuyanos FC are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.25 for Atletico el Vigia FC.

Yaracuyanos FC vs Atletico el Vigia FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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