Today / Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein / Sonsbeck vs Schonnebeck

Sonsbeck vs Schonnebeck Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 28 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Sonsbeck logo
Sonsbeck
PPG 1.15 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Schonnebeck logo
Schonnebeck
PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-16.0%0-28.2%0-37.4%0-4+9.8%1 1-02.4%1-16.5%1-28.9%1-38.1%1-4+10.7%2 2-01.3%2-13.6%2-24.9%2-34.4%2-4+5.8%3 3-00.5%3-11.3%3-21.8%3-31.6%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 12.7%
Draw 15.5%
Away win 71.8%
Over 2.5 73.4%
Over 3.5 53.1%
BTTS 62.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5 58%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 78%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob62.1%

A 72% / xG 1.1-2.7 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.9%
#2 0–2 8.2%
#3 1–3 8.1%
#4 0–3 7.4%
#5 1–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sonsbeck1.1
Schonnebeck2.7

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.4% · O3.5 PROB 53.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SONSBECK · PPG 1.15

SCHONNEBECK · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.15) vs Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Win probability 1X2

Sonsbeck (H) 12.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Schonnebeck (A) 71.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sonsbeck face Schonnebeck in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sonsbeck a 13% chance, the draw 16% and Schonnebeck 72%, so Schonnebeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Sonsbeck and 2.7 for Schonnebeck (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sonsbeck are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 1.46 for Schonnebeck. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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