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Holzheimer SG vs SC St. Tonis Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 28 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Holzheimer SG

PPG 1.15 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

SC St. Tonis

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-13.3%0-25.1%0-35.3%0-4+9.1%1 1-01.5%1-14.7%1-27.3%1-37.6%1-4+13.0%2 2-01.1%2-13.4%2-25.2%2-35.5%2-4+9.3%3 3-00.5%3-11.6%3-22.5%3-32.6%3-4+4.5%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.8%4+-21.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.4% — — —

Draw 14.5% — — —

Away win 71.1% — — —

Over 2.5 83.3% — — —

Over 3.5 66.8% — — —

BTTS 72.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 78%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob72.8%

A 71% / xG 1.4-3.1 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 73%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.6%

#2 1–2 7.3%

#3 1–4 6.0%

#4 2–3 5.5%

#5 0–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Holzheimer SG1.4

SC St. Tonis3.1

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.3% · O3.5 PROB 66.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HOLZHEIMER SG · PPG 1.15

SC ST. TONIS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.15)

Win probability 1X2

Holzheimer SG (H) 14.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 14.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SC St. Tonis (A) 71.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Holzheimer SG face SC St. Tonis in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Holzheimer SG a 14% chance, the draw 14% and SC St. Tonis 71%, so SC St. Tonis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Holzheimer SG and 3.1 for SC St. Tonis (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Holzheimer SG are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 2.00 for SC St. Tonis. This match finished 0-0.

Holzheimer SG vs SC St. Tonis Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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