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Baumberg vs Kleve Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Niederrhein - 28 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Baumberg

PPG 1.36 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Kleve

PPG 0.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.0%0-23.2%0-31.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.3%1-18.4%1-26.7%1-33.6%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.5%2-18.7%2-27.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.8%3-16.1%3-24.8%3-32.6%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-15.1%4+-24.1%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.1% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 29.8% — — —

Over 2.5 71.1% — — —

Over 3.5 50.1% — — —

BTTS 69.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob69.8%

H 49% / xG 2.1-1.6 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 1–1 8.4%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baumberg2.1

Kleve1.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.1% · O3.5 PROB 50.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BAUMBERG · PPG 1.36

KLEVE · PPG 0.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.36) vs P(Home)=49.1%

Win probability 1X2

Baumberg (H) 49.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kleve (A) 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Baumberg face Kleve in Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baumberg a 49% chance, the draw 21% and Kleve 30%, so Baumberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Baumberg and 1.6 for Kleve (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baumberg are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 0.54 for Kleve. This match finished 0-0.

Baumberg vs Kleve Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niederrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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