Today / Argentina - Torneo Federal A / Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Independiente De Chivilcoy

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sportivo Las Parejas

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.3%0-111.9%0-23.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.1%1-112.5%1-24.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.0%2-16.5%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.5%3-12.3%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.5% — — —

Draw 30.9% — — —

Away win 26.6% — — —

Over 2.5 39.3% — — —

Over 3.5 18.8% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 20.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.4%

H 42% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.3%

#2 1–0 19.1%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–0 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Independiente De Chivilcoy1.0

Sportivo Las Parejas0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.8%

Form & verdict PPG

INDEPENDIENTE DE CHIVILCOY · PPG 1.50

SPORTIVO LAS PAREJAS · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.39, combined xG 1.70 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Independiente De Chivilcoy (H) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sportivo Las Parejas (A) 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Independiente De Chivilcoy face Sportivo Las Parejas in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Independiente De Chivilcoy a 43% chance, the draw 31% and Sportivo Las Parejas 27%, so Independiente De Chivilcoy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Independiente De Chivilcoy and 0.7 for Sportivo Las Parejas (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Independiente De Chivilcoy are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Sportivo Las Parejas.

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Torneo Federal A Predictions