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Atenas vs Juventud Unida Univ. Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Atenas

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventud Unida Univ.

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.3%0-111.5%0-23.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.9%1-112.5%1-24.2%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.3%2-16.8%2-22.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.7%3-12.5%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% — — —

Draw 31.4% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 37.1% — — —

Over 3.5 17.8% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.4%

H 45% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.3%

#2 1–0 18.9%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 0–1 11.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atenas1.1

Juventud Unida Univ.0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.1% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ATENAS · PPG 1.71

JUVENTUD UNIDA UNIV. · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.43, combined xG 1.75 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Atenas (H) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventud Unida Univ. (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atenas face Juventud Unida Univ. in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atenas a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Juventud Unida Univ. 23%, so Atenas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Atenas and 0.7 for Juventud Unida Univ. (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atenas are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.29 for Juventud Unida Univ..

Atenas vs Juventud Unida Univ. Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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