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Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Guillermo Brown

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Germinal de Rawson

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.9%0-110.5%0-22.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.6%1-111.4%1-23.0%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.7%2-16.2%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.2%3-12.2%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% — — —

Draw 31.3% — — —

Away win 19.9% — — —

Over 2.5 35.9% — — —

Over 3.5 17.0% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.4%

H 49% / xG 1.1-0.5 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.9%

#2 1–0 21.6%

#3 1–1 11.4%

#4 2–0 11.7%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guillermo Brown1.1

Germinal de Rawson0.5

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 17.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GUILLERMO BROWN · PPG 1.14

GERMINAL DE RAWSON · PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Guillermo Brown (H) 48.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Germinal de Rawson (A) 19.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Guillermo Brown face Germinal de Rawson in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guillermo Brown a 49% chance, the draw 31% and Germinal de Rawson 20%, so Guillermo Brown are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Guillermo Brown and 0.5 for Germinal de Rawson (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guillermo Brown are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.43 for Germinal de Rawson.

Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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