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Boca Unidos vs Juventud Antoniana Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Boca Unidos

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventud Antoniana

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 2.34 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-19.5%0-24.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.1%1-112.9%1-26.3%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.8%2-18.7%2-24.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.0%3-13.9%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.7% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 25.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 51.4% — — —

Home O1.5 38.5% — — —

Away O1.5 29.2% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.4%

H 48% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 9.7%

#3 1–0 13.1%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Boca Unidos1.4

Juventud Antoniana1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BOCA UNIDOS · PPG 2.14

JUVENTUD ANTONIANA · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 2.34 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Boca Unidos (H) 47.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventud Antoniana (A) 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Boca Unidos face Juventud Antoniana in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boca Unidos a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Juventud Antoniana 26%, so Boca Unidos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Boca Unidos and 1.0 for Juventud Antoniana (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boca Unidos are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.29 for Juventud Antoniana.

Boca Unidos vs Juventud Antoniana Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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