Today / Malawi - Super League / Mitundu Baptist vs Silver Strikers

Mitundu Baptist vs Silver Strikers Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Regular Season - 11 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 12:30

Mitundu Baptist

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Silver Strikers

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.5%0-118.8%0-29.1%0-32.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-013.1%1-112.6%1-26.1%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-04.4%2-14.2%2-22.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.0%3-10.9%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.0% — — —

Draw 32.6% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 35.9% — — —

Over 3.5 17.8% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 29.2% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.4%

D 33% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.5%

#2 0–1 18.8%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 1–0 13.1%

#5 0–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mitundu Baptist0.7

Silver Strikers1.0

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MITUNDU BAPTIST · PPG 2.00

SILVER STRIKERS · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.29, combined xG 1.64 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Mitundu Baptist (H) 32.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Silver Strikers (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mitundu Baptist face Silver Strikers in Malawi - Super League on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mitundu Baptist a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Silver Strikers 35%, so Silver Strikers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Mitundu Baptist and 1.0 for Silver Strikers (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mitundu Baptist are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Silver Strikers.

Mitundu Baptist vs Silver Strikers Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malawi - Super League Predictions