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Dedza Dynamos vs Nyasa Big Bullets Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 12:30

Dedza Dynamos

PPG 0.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nyasa Big Bullets

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-118.3%0-212.4%0-35.6%0-4+2.6%1 1-08.7%1-111.8%1-28.0%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-02.8%2-13.8%2-22.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.6%3-10.8%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.4% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 47.8% — — —

Over 2.5 42.8% — — —

Over 3.5 22.9% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 41.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob48.0%

A 48% / xG 0.6-1.4 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 18.3%

#2 0–0 13.4%

#3 1–1 11.8%

#4 0–2 12.4%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dedza Dynamos0.6

Nyasa Big Bullets1.4

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.8% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DEDZA DYNAMOS · PPG 0.80

NYASA BIG BULLETS · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.71 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Dedza Dynamos (H) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nyasa Big Bullets (A) 47.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dedza Dynamos face Nyasa Big Bullets in Malawi - Super League on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dedza Dynamos a 23% chance, the draw 29% and Nyasa Big Bullets 48%, so Nyasa Big Bullets are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Dedza Dynamos and 1.4 for Nyasa Big Bullets (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dedza Dynamos are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.80 for Nyasa Big Bullets.

Dedza Dynamos vs Nyasa Big Bullets Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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