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Blue Eagles vs Red Lions Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 12:30

Blue Eagles

PPG 2.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Red Lions

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.19 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.6%0-15.6%0-21.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-018.3%1-19.6%1-22.5%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.7%2-18.2%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.0%3-14.7%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-13.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.6% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 18.4% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.4%

H 59% / xG 1.7-0.5 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.3%

#2 2–0 15.7%

#3 0–0 10.6%

#4 1–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Blue Eagles1.7

Red Lions0.5

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BLUE EAGLES · PPG 2.60

RED LIONS · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.19 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Blue Eagles (H) 58.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Red Lions (A) 18.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Blue Eagles face Red Lions in Malawi - Super League on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Blue Eagles a 59% chance, the draw 23% and Red Lions 18%, so Blue Eagles are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Blue Eagles and 0.5 for Red Lions (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Blue Eagles are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 0.40 for Red Lions.

Blue Eagles vs Red Lions Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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