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Al Arabi SC vs Al Qadsia Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Championship Playoffs - 2 ·Friday, June 19, 2026, 18:45

Al Arabi SC

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Qadsia

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.9%0-111.7%0-24.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.7%1-113.2%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.9%2-17.5%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.4%3-12.8%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 43.3% 2.20 -4.7%

Draw 30.0% 3.20 -4.0%

Away win 26.7% 3.10 -10.3%

Over 2.5 43.6% 2.10 -8.4%

Over 3.5 22.9% 3.70 -9.2%

BTTS 48.5% 1.80 -12.7%

Win probability 1X2

Al Arabi SC (H) 43.3%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -4.7%

Draw 30.0%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -4.0%

Al Qadsia (A) 26.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -10.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.5%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.9%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 15.7%

#4 0–1 11.7%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Arabi SC1.1

Al Qadsia0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AL ARABI SC · PPG 1.78

AL QADSIA · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Arabi SC face Al Qadsia in Kuwait - Premier League on Friday, June 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Arabi SC a 43% chance, the draw 30% and Al Qadsia 27%, so Al Arabi SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Al Arabi SC and 0.8 for Al Qadsia (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Arabi SC are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.44 for Al Qadsia.

Al Arabi SC vs Al Qadsia Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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