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Sparta P. U19 vs S. Olomouc U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 30 ·Thursday, June 11, 2026, 11:00

Sparta P. U19

PPG 1.71 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

S. Olomouc U19

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.1%0-22.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.0%1-18.6%1-26.2%1-33.0%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.4%2-19.2%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.5%3-16.5%3-24.7%3-32.3%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-15.7%4+-24.1%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.9% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 64.9% — — —

Over 3.5 42.1% — — —

BTTS 63.7% — — —

Home O1.5 61.0% — — —

Away O1.5 38.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.7%

H 53% / xG 2.1-1.4 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 2–2 6.6%

#4 3–1✓ 6.5%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sparta P. U192.1

S. Olomouc U191.4

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTA P. U19 · PPG 1.71

S. OLOMOUC U19 · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=52.9%

Win probability 1X2

Sparta P. U19 (H) 52.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Olomouc U19 (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sparta P. U19 face S. Olomouc U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Thursday, June 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sparta P. U19 a 53% chance, the draw 22% and S. Olomouc U19 25%, so Sparta P. U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Sparta P. U19 and 1.4 for S. Olomouc U19 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sparta P. U19 are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.86 for S. Olomouc U19. This match finished 3-1.

Sparta P. U19 vs S. Olomouc U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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