Today / Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 / S. Liberec U19 vs M. Boleslav U19

S. Liberec U19 vs M. Boleslav U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 08:00

S. Liberec U19 logo
S. Liberec U19
PPG 1.31 · HOME
3 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
M. Boleslav U19 logo
M. Boleslav U19
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-13.9%0-24.1%0-32.9%0-4+2.5%1 1-03.4%1-17.3%1-27.7%1-35.5%1-4+4.7%2 2-03.2%2-16.9%2-27.3%2-35.1%2-4+4.5%3 3-02.0%3-14.3%3-24.6%3-33.2%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-13.1%4+-23.3%4+-32.3%4+-4+2.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.0%
Draw 22.0%
Away win 42.0%
Over 2.5 65.8%
Over 3.5 44.7%
BTTS 63.4%
Home O1.5 56.2%
Away O1.5 62.5%

League track record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 70%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 16.3%
Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-4
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.4%

A 42% / xG 1.9-2.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.3%
#2 1–2 7.7%
#3 2–2 7.3%
#4 2–1 6.9%
#5 1–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Liberec U191.9
M. Boleslav U192.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.7%

Form & verdict PPG

S. LIBEREC U19 · PPG 1.31

M. BOLESLAV U19 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

S. Liberec U19 (H) 36.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
M. Boleslav U19 (A) 42.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Liberec U19 face M. Boleslav U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Liberec U19 a 36% chance, the draw 22% and M. Boleslav U19 42%, so M. Boleslav U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for S. Liberec U19 and 2.1 for M. Boleslav U19 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Liberec U19 are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.00 for M. Boleslav U19. This match finished 3-4.

PredictVantage

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