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Tomislav vs Tusla City Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 26 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 15:30

Tomislav

PPG 1.67 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Tusla City

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=62.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-14.1%0-21.6%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.5%1-18.8%1-23.4%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.5%2-19.6%2-23.7%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.1%3-16.9%3-22.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.1%4+-16.2%4+-22.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.5% — — —

Draw 19.8% — — —

Away win 17.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.5% — — —

Over 3.5 39.0% — — —

BTTS 52.5% — — —

Home O1.5 60.4% — — —

Away O1.5 27.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.5%

H 62% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.5%

#2 1–0 11.5%

#3 1–1 8.8%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tomislav2.2

Tusla City0.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TOMISLAV · PPG 1.67

TUSLA CITY · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=62.5%

Win probability 1X2

Tomislav (H) 62.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tusla City (A) 17.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tomislav face Tusla City in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tomislav a 63% chance, the draw 20% and Tusla City 18%, so Tomislav are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Tomislav and 0.8 for Tusla City (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tomislav are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.25 for Tusla City. This match finished 4-0.

Tomislav vs Tusla City Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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