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Stupcanica vs B. Gracanica Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 25 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 15:30

Stupcanica

PPG 1.75 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

B. Gracanica

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.8%0-19.1%0-23.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.3%1-112.0%1-23.9%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-17.9%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.3%3-13.5%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% — — —

Draw 29.2% — — —

Away win 22.7% — — —

Over 2.5 34.0% — — —

Over 3.5 19.4% — — —

BTTS 46.3% — — —

Home O1.5 38.2% — — —

Away O1.5 14.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.3%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.3%

#2 0–0 13.8%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 12.1%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stupcanica1.3

B. Gracanica0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.4%

Form & verdict PPG

STUPCANICA · PPG 1.75

B. GRACANICA · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=48.1%

Win probability 1X2

Stupcanica (H) 48.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

B. Gracanica (A) 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stupcanica face B. Gracanica in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stupcanica a 48% chance, the draw 29% and B. Gracanica 23%, so Stupcanica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Stupcanica and 0.7 for B. Gracanica (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stupcanica are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.75 for B. Gracanica. This match finished 0-2.

Stupcanica vs B. Gracanica Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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