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Tusla City vs Travnik Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 25 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 15:30

Tusla City

PPG 1.17 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

Travnik

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-114.5%0-29.7%0-34.3%0-4+1.9%1 1-09.6%1-112.8%1-28.6%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-04.3%2-15.7%2-23.8%2-31.7%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.3%3-11.7%3-21.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.3% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 45.5% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 27.7% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 22.2% — — —

Away O1.5 38.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob47.2%

A 46% / xG 0.9-1.3 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 10.9%

#3 0–1 14.5%

#4 0–2 9.7%

#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tusla City0.9

Travnik1.3

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TUSLA CITY · PPG 1.17

TRAVNIK · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Tusla City (H) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Travnik (A) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tusla City face Travnik in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tusla City a 26% chance, the draw 28% and Travnik 46%, so Travnik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Tusla City and 1.3 for Travnik (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tusla City are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.83 for Travnik. This match finished 0-4.

Tusla City vs Travnik Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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