Today / Slovakia - I Liga - Women / Trencin W vs Zilina W

Trencin W vs Zilina W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:30

Trencin W logo
Trencin W
PPG 1.33 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Zilina W logo
Zilina W
PPG 0.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-14.3%0-22.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-07.4%1-19.1%1-25.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.9%2-19.7%2-26.0%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.6%3-16.9%3-24.2%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-16.0%4+-23.7%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 53.7%
Draw 22.6%
Away win 23.6%
Over 2.5 64.1%
Over 3.5 39.8%
BTTS 61.0%
Home O1.5 62.6%
Away O1.5 34.8%

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.0%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%
#2 2–1 9.7%
#3 2–0 7.9%
#4 3–1 6.9%
#5 1–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trencin W2.1
Zilina W1.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TRENCIN W · PPG 1.33

ZILINA W · PPG 0.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=53.7%

Win probability 1X2

Trencin W (H) 53.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Zilina W (A) 23.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trencin W face Zilina W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trencin W a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Zilina W 24%, so Trencin W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Trencin W and 1.2 for Zilina W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trencin W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.42 for Zilina W. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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