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Trencin W vs Ruzomberok W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:30

Trencin W

PPG 1.36 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Ruzomberok W

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.7%0-24.2%0-32.5%0-4+1.7%1 1-04.9%1-18.7%1-27.8%1-34.7%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.5%2-18.0%2-27.2%2-34.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-02.8%3-14.9%3-24.4%3-32.6%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.5%4+-23.1%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.5% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 35.9% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 49.2% — — —

BTTS 62.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.7%

H 40% / xG 1.8-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.7%

#2 2–1 8.0%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trencin W1.8

Ruzomberok W1.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 49.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TRENCIN W · PPG 1.36

RUZOMBEROK W · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.36) > Away POOR (0.82)

Win probability 1X2

Trencin W (H) 40.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ruzomberok W (A) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trencin W face Ruzomberok W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trencin W a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Ruzomberok W 36%, so Trencin W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Trencin W and 1.8 for Ruzomberok W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trencin W are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 0.82 for Ruzomberok W. This match finished 1-1.

Trencin W vs Ruzomberok W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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