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Komarno W vs Trencin W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 14:00

Komarno W logo
Komarno W
PPG 1.42 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Trencin W logo
Trencin W
PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.42) > Away POOR (0.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-18.3%0-25.0%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.1%1-112.2%1-27.3%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.0%2-25.4%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.7%3-14.4%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.3%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.0%
Draw 27.1%
Away win 26.9%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Over 3.5 28.1%
BTTS 54.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.3%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%
#2 2–1 9.0%
#3 0–0 6.9%
#4 1–0 10.1%
#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Komarno W1.5
Trencin W1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KOMARNO W · PPG 1.42

TRENCIN W · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.42) > Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Komarno W (H) 46.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Trencin W (A) 26.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Komarno W face Trencin W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Komarno W a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Trencin W 27%, so Komarno W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Komarno W and 1.2 for Trencin W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Komarno W are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 0.67 for Trencin W. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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