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Trnava W vs Komarno W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 09:00

Trnava W logo
Trnava W
PPG 0.73 · HOME
5 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Komarno W logo
Komarno W
PPG 0.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.73), Away POOR (0.82)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-18.2%0-25.8%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.3%1-111.7%1-28.3%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.9%2-18.4%2-26.0%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.8%3-14.0%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.0%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.8%
Draw 26.0%
Away win 37.2%
Over 2.5 54.3%
Over 3.5 31.9%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-1
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.7%

H 37% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%
#2 2–1 8.4%
#3 1–2 8.3%
#4 0–0 5.8%
#5 1–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trnava W1.4
Komarno W1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TRNAVA W · PPG 0.73

KOMARNO W · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.73), Away POOR (0.82)

Win probability 1X2

Trnava W (H) 36.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Komarno W (A) 37.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trnava W face Komarno W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trnava W a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Komarno W 37%, so Komarno W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Trnava W and 1.4 for Komarno W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trnava W are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 0.82 for Komarno W. This match finished 5-1.

PredictVantage

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