Today / Slovakia - I Liga - Women / Petrzalka W vs Presov W

Petrzalka W vs Presov W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Championship Group - 8 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 15:00

Petrzalka W logo
Petrzalka W
PPG 0.73 · HOME
1 – 5
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5
Presov W logo
Presov W
PPG 2.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-11.7%0-23.5%0-34.9%0-4+15.9%1 1-00.5%1-12.2%1-24.7%1-36.6%1-4+21.1%2 2-00.4%2-11.5%2-23.1%2-34.4%2-4+14.1%3 3-00.2%3-10.7%3-21.4%3-31.9%3-4+6.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+2.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 12.6%
Draw 20.7%
Away win 66.6%
Over 2.5 79.0%
Over 3.5 79.9%
BTTS 63.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 71%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-5
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)4.2 BTTS prob63.0%

A 67% / xG 1.3-4.2 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–4 6.8%
#2 1–3 6.6%
#3 1–5 5.7%
#4 0–4 5.2%
#5 0–3 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrzalka W1.3
Presov W4.2

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 79.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PETRZALKA W · PPG 0.73

PRESOV W · PPG 2.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.18) vs Home POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

Petrzalka W (H) 12.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Presov W (A) 66.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrzalka W face Presov W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrzalka W a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Presov W 67%, so Presov W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Petrzalka W and 4.2 for Presov W (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-4. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrzalka W are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 2.18 for Presov W. This match finished 1-5.

PredictVantage

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