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Bardejov W vs Petrzalka W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Championship Group - 7 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 09:00

Bardejov W

PPG 1.45 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Petrzalka W

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.0%0-20.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-02.2%1-13.6%1-22.8%1-31.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-03.9%2-16.1%2-24.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.4%3-17.1%3-25.6%3-33.0%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-09.3%4+-114.7%4+-211.7%4+-36.2%4+-4+3.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.3% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 20.4% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 74.0% — — —

BTTS 65.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob65.1%

H 59% / xG 3.5-1.6 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.1%

#2 2–1 6.1%

#3 4–1 6.1%

#4 3–2 5.6%

#5 2–2 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bardejov W3.5

Petrzalka W1.6

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 74.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BARDEJOV W · PPG 1.45

PETRZALKA W · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.45) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Bardejov W (H) 59.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Petrzalka W (A) 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bardejov W face Petrzalka W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bardejov W a 59% chance, the draw 20% and Petrzalka W 20%, so Bardejov W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Bardejov W and 1.6 for Petrzalka W (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bardejov W are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.08 for Petrzalka W. This match finished 1-3.

Bardejov W vs Petrzalka W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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