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Sparta P. U19 vs Jihlava U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 09:00

Sparta P. U19

PPG 1.62 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Jihlava U19

PPG 0.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.62) vs P(Home)=60.7%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.5%0-20.9%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.9%1-14.7%1-22.8%1-31.1%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.3%2-17.6%2-24.5%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.7%3-18.1%3-24.8%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-011.9%4+-114.3%4+-28.6%4+-33.4%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.7% — — —

Draw 19.6% — — —

Away win 19.7% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 48.7% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 82.8% — — —

Away O1.5 33.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.4%

H 61% / xG 3.2-1.2 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 7.6%

#3 3–0✓ 6.7%

#4 4–1 6.4%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sparta P. U193.2

Jihlava U191.2

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 48.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTA P. U19 · PPG 1.62

JIHLAVA U19 · PPG 0.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.62) vs P(Home)=60.7%

Win probability 1X2

Sparta P. U19 (H) 60.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jihlava U19 (A) 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sparta P. U19 face Jihlava U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sparta P. U19 a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Jihlava U19 20%, so Sparta P. U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Sparta P. U19 and 1.2 for Jihlava U19 (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sparta P. U19 are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.08 for Jihlava U19. This match finished 3-0.

Sparta P. U19 vs Jihlava U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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