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Budejovice U19 vs Karvina U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 09:00

Budejovice U19

PPG 1.62 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Karvina U19

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.3%0-23.5%0-32.5%0-4+2.1%1 1-03.1%1-16.7%1-27.1%1-35.0%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.2%2-16.9%2-27.3%2-35.2%2-4+4.5%3 3-02.2%3-14.7%3-25.0%3-33.5%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.9%4+-24.1%4+-32.9%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 41.6% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 46.7% — — —

BTTS 65.9% — — —

Home O1.5 60.8% — — —

Away O1.5 62.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob65.9%

A 42% / xG 2.1-2.1 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.7%

#2 2–2 7.3%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.9%

#5 2–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Budejovice U192.1

Karvina U192.1

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 46.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDEJOVICE U19 · PPG 1.62

KARVINA U19 · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Budejovice U19 (H) 37.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Karvina U19 (A) 41.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Budejovice U19 face Karvina U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Budejovice U19 a 38% chance, the draw 21% and Karvina U19 42%, so Karvina U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Budejovice U19 and 2.1 for Karvina U19 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Budejovice U19 are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.23 for Karvina U19. This match finished 4-2.

Budejovice U19 vs Karvina U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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