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Kazma vs Al Fahaheel Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 16:15

Kazma

PPG 1.63 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Al Fahaheel

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 57.0% vs bookmaker-implied 59.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-14.8%0-21.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.7%1-19.6%1-23.6%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.7%2-19.6%2-23.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.5%3-16.4%3-22.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.8%4+-15.1%4+-21.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.0% 59.2% 1.69 -3.7%

Draw 24.4% 27.8% 3.60 -7.3%

Away win 18.7% 22.2% 4.50 -9.5%

Over 2.5 52.6% 52.6% 1.90 -0.1%

Over 3.5 29.9% 31.3% 3.20 -2.6%

BTTS 51.6% 55.6% 1.80 -7.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -31.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.6%

H 57% / xG 2.0-0.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.7%

#2 1–0 12.7%

#3 1–1 9.6%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kazma2.0

Al Fahaheel0.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KAZMA · PPG 1.63

AL FAHAHEEL · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=57.0%

Win probability 1X2

Kazma (H) 57.0%

ODDS 1.69 · IMPLIED 59.2% EV -3.7%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.3%

Al Fahaheel (A) 18.7%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -9.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kazma face Al Fahaheel in Kuwait - Premier League on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kazma a 57% chance, the draw 24% and Al Fahaheel 19%, so Kazma are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Kazma and 0.8 for Al Fahaheel (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kazma are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.71 for Al Fahaheel. This match finished 2-3.

Kazma vs Al Fahaheel Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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